• 📉 June saw a slight drop in mortgage rates, which might boost the housing market.
  • 📈 New home listings grew by 6.3% year over year in June.
  • 🏡 Total listings were 36.7% higher than the same time last year.
  • 🌍 Home inventory increased in all four U.S. regions, most notably in the South with a 48.9% rise.
  • 🚀 Housing stock increased in all of the largest 50 metros, with Tampa, Orlando, and Denver seeing the highest growth.
  • 🛠 The number of homes for sale is up but still below pre-pandemic levels.
  • 💰 The median home price held steady at $445,000 in June, with prices per square foot increasing by 3.4%.
  • 🏠 Homes priced between $200,000 and $350,000 saw the most significant growth, especially in the South.
  • 🔥 Home prices increased the most in Cleveland, Philadelphia, and Rochester, NY.
  • ⏳ The typical home spent 45 days on the market in June, two days longer than last year.
  • 📉 Time on the market decreased in some metros, including San Jose, Chicago, and Providence.

The real estate landscape, often characterized by seasonal fluctuations, is finally showing signs of a vibrant summer rush. Despite a generally sluggish spring, recent trends indicate that the housing market is poised for a significant turnaround this summer.

June’s Slight Drop in Mortgage Rates: A Catalyst for Market Revival

One of the primary factors contributing to the anticipated summer surge is the slight drop in mortgage rates observed in June. Lower mortgage rates can stimulate buyer interest and potentially lead to increased home sales. As potential homeowners realize the opportunity to secure more favorable financing, the market naturally becomes more dynamic.

New Listings and Total Listings: A Year-Over-Year Comparison

Growth in New Home Listings

June witnessed a 6.3% year-over-year increase in new home listings. This uptick is a critical indicator of market confidence. More homeowners are opting to sell, signifying a belief in favorable market conditions.

Total Listings Up by 36.7%

When considering both new and existing listings, the total number saw a substantial rise of 36.7% compared to the same period last year. This significant increase suggests a more vibrant and competitive market environment, offering buyers a wider range of options.

Regional Breakdown: Where is the Inventory Growing?

Southern Dominance

The South leads the pack with a staggering 48.9% increase in active home listings. This region stands out as the most lucrative area for home shoppers, offering the most extensive selection of homes.

Other Regions

  • West: 35.8% increase
  • Midwest: 21.5% increase
  • Northeast: 12.5% increase

Although all regions experienced growth, the South remains the most prominent, outpacing others significantly.

Metropolitan Insights: Hotspots for Home Listings

In the nation’s largest 50 metros, the rise in home listings is particularly notable. Cities like Tampa (93.1%), Orlando (81.5%), and Denver (77.9%) have seen explosive growth, making them hot spots for real estate activity.

Surpassing Pre-Pandemic Levels

Some metros have even surpassed their pre-pandemic levels. Noteworthy among them are cities predominantly located in the South and West, such as Austin, TX (41.2%), Memphis, TN (24.9%), and San Antonio, TX (24.0%).

Home Prices and Affordability

Steady Median Home Price

In June, the median home price held steady at $445,000 compared to the previous year. However, price per square foot saw a 3.4% year-over-year increase, indicating that while the overall price may not have risen, homes are still becoming more expensive on a per-square-foot basis.

Affordable Housing Stock

Homes priced between $200,000 and $350,000 experienced the most significant growth, with inventory expanding by a remarkable 50% from June of the previous year. This trend is particularly strong in the South, signaling an increase in affordable housing options.

Rising Home Prices in Specific Metros

Though the national median list price remained flat, some metros saw significant spikes. Notably, Cleveland (14.7%), Philadelphia (11.3%), and Rochester, NY (9.3%) experienced the highest increases. These cities, especially in the Northeast, have shown promising economic strength over the last year.

Market Dynamics: Time on Market

Slight Increase in Time on Market

The average home spent 45 days on the market in June, two days longer than last year. This slight increase in time reflects the swelling housing stock and the resultant market saturation.

Decreases in Some Metros

Interestingly, some metros bucked this trend, showing decreased time on the market:

  • San Jose, CA: Tech sector resurgence contributing to faster home sales.
  • Chicago, IL
  • Providence, RI

These areas saw homes spending nine fewer days on the market compared to the national average.

Conclusion: A Promising Summer for Real Estate

As mortgage rates drop, listings increase, and regional markets expand, the housing market is set for an unexpected yet welcome summer surge. Buyers can look forward to a plethora of options, particularly in the South and key metropolitan areas. While home prices vary regionally, the overall growth and improved affordability offer promising opportunities for potential homeowners.

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Last Update: July 9, 2024